Registered voters in Hawaii have a far more favorable impression of the lieutenant governor than of his boss.
Of those surveyed in the latest Civil Beat / Hawaii News Now poll, 63% said they had a positive opinion on Josh Green, who has almost announced his intention to replace temporary David Ige next year.
The governor’s positive numbers were a dismal 22%, while more than half of voters (53%) see the governor in a negative light. Green’s negative numbers, on the other hand, were only 17%.
“If you look at Tuesday’s poll on COVID-19, voters think Iges Executive Orders were effective and necessary, but they don’t like him,” said Matthew Fitch, managing partner of MRG Research, who conducted the poll Jan. until April 21st. “You don’t think he’s the architect of everything.”
Instead, Fitch said, “You pay tribute to the lieutenant governor who was the public face of all of this.”
Green, a doctor, is the COVID-19 liaison for the Ige administration. He’s constantly on mainstream and social media and can even occasionally be seen administering vaccines himself.
How could this affect Green’s chances in Democratic Elementary School next August?
Fitch said the results of the poll, which polled 1,506 registered voters nationwide with a plus or minus margin of 2.5 percentage points, show that Green was a resident of both Oahu and the neighboring islands (he is a former senator of the Big Island state) does well with women and men, with Caucasians and Japanese-Americans, with well-educated and those who don’t have college degrees.
“Even his Republican numbers are pretty good,” said Fitch. “The one area he’s a little soft on is with most liberals, although he’s good at dealing with moderates. So if green has a real weakness, it’s from the left in elementary school. But his numbers look terribly good. “
The deadline for submitting application documents for elementary school on August 13, 2022 does not end until June 7. So there is enough time to find candidates for the Board of Governors.
The only potential candidates who have started raising funds for a run are Green and former Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell.
If Caldwell is still weighing a run for the governor, the new poll could prove sobering. His positive numbers (29%) and negative numbers (46%) across the state are similar to Ige’s. Like the governor, the former mayor has not benefited from the same voters (roughly two-thirds) who believe state and local stay-at-home and quarantine orders have been requested and processed.
In contrast, Caldwell’s successor, Rick Blangiardi, does much better in the new poll, even though around a third of Oahu voters say they aren’t sure what to think of the new mayor.
But with a 50% positive rating for Oahu Blangiardi, “is still in its honeymoon phase,” said Fitch. “Compared to Caldwell, voters are looking forward to a fresh start.”
He added, “Fairly or unfairly, there is quite a bit of Caldwell fatigue. Things don’t get any better with things like the rail. And next year it will be before you know it. “
“I see him on TV”
Despite his many critics, the governor has his admirers. This includes KC Ross from Kehena in the Puna district of the Big Island.
“I like how Ige handled the pandemic,” she said. “I’m pretty isolated here in Kehena and keep myself quite aloof socially. But I am old and have lung problems so it would be very dangerous to get COVID. “
Ross, 73, said, “I don’t think I could have survived all year and a few months without being careful.”
But she has even more praise for the LG, pointing out that there was only one new case of COVID on the east side of the island on Wednesday.
“I especially like Josh Green because I like his thoughts on COVID,” she said. “I see him on TV – but also the governor – and they describe what they are doing for the state. You did a good job. “
Ross, a retired marriage and family therapist who has worked in Hilo, said she and her partner have been vaccinated and plan to travel to California this summer to celebrate Ross’ mother’s 101st birthday.
For Hawaii Kai’s Patrick Myatt, Green deserves praise, but not Ige.
“It was my first choice, but it doesn’t seem particularly critical,” said Myatt, 85, who retired from corporate communications with Hawaiian Electric. “I think he’s a nice guy, but nice guys aren’t always great leaders.”
What particularly bothers Myatt is Iges hesitation, like his reaction to the telescope protest against Mauna Kea.
“I don’t like the way he handled it,” he said.
But Green, Myatt said, “is the right man in the right place for the pandemic when it comes to being a doctor. I remember seeing his work for the homeless before. I see him as a compassionate leader – not that Ige is not compassionate, but he just doesn’t show it. “
Regarding Honolulu mayors past and present, Myatt said he had never had a solid feel for where Caldwell was on the subject.
“He seemed to fluctuate from one to the next and seemed to change his mind,” he said. “In the end, he never seemed to be particularly anchored in the subject.”
On Blangiardi, Myatt, who had also worked as a journalist for the South China Morning Post in Hong Kong for 30 years, said he had long watched him broadcast his daily news on Hawaii News Now.
“I came to the conclusion that as a businessman he would bring something different to the job, even though he didn’t seem to have all the tools necessary to be a great mayor.”
Who is Scott Saiki?
This is the first time Civil Beat / HNN has interviewed a House spokesman. Given the high profile of Rep. Scott Saiki during the pandemic, economic downturn, and the recently completed legislative term, we have decided this is appropriate.
The bottom line: almost 60% say they are not sure about Saiki, who has been a spokesperson since 2017. For those who had heard of him, 27% saw him as negative and only 15% saw him as positive.
“You don’t know who he is,” said Fitch.
More registered voters said they knew about the Hawaiian legislation, but barely a fifth have positive feelings about it, compared to nearly half who viewed the legislation through a negative lens.
For Hawaii’s congressional delegation, Senator Brian Schatz scores best with 52% positive and 30% negative. Sen. Mazie Hirono and Rep. Ed Case follow Schatz with slightly poorer grades.
“They all have decent numbers, but Schatz’s are a bit stronger, which is good for him because he’s up for re-election next year,” said Fitch.
Hawaii’s fourth member of Congress, Rep. Kai Kahele, has only been on duty for four months and most voters feel they don’t know him well enough.
Noteworthy: While Civil Beat / HNN conducted a nationwide survey, the focus was also on Oahu. 1,002 registered voters were interviewed for these questions and the margin of error was 3.5 percentage points.
Similarly, questions about Congressional District polled 1,692 registered voters (the margin of error is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points), while questions related to Congressional District polled 2,814 registered voters (with a profit margin of 3.7 percentage points).
Next Thursday: Voter views on the Honolulu rail
Read the full results of the Civil Beat / Hawaii News Now poll here:
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